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Last Chance Voti
Qualità su una buona giornata: 3.0
Coerenza del surf: 3.0
Livello di difficoltà: 4.0
Folle: 3.0

Overall: 3.3

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Surf Report Feed

Last Chance Swell Statistics, Ottobre: Surf with Light or Offshore Winds

This image shows only the swells directed at Last Chance that coincided with light winds or offshore conditions through a typical October. It is based on 2480 predictions, one every 3 hours. The direction of the spokes show where quality surf generating swell comes from. Five colours show increasing wave sizes. The smallest swells, less than 0.5m (1.5 feet), high are coloured blue. Green and yellow show increasing swell sizes and red illustrates largest swells greater than >3m (>10ft). In each graph, the area of any colour is proportional to how often that size swell happens.

The diagram indicates that the prevailing swell direction, shown by the longest spokes, was ENE, whereas the the most common wind blows from the WNW. The chart at the bottom shows the same thing but without direction information. For example, swells larger than 1.5 feet (0.5m) coincided with good wind conditions 12% of the time, equivalent to 4 days. Open sea swells exceeding >3m (>10ft) are unlikely to arise in a normal October. Taking into account the proportion of these swells that coincided with forecast offshore winds, and given the fact that Last Chance is exposed to open water swells, we calculate that clean surf can be found at Last Chance about 12% of the time and that surf is messed up by onshore wind 12% of the time. This is means that we expect 7 days with waves in a typical October, of which 4 days should be clean enough to surf.

IMPORTANT: Beta version feature! Swell heights are open water values from NWW3. There is no attempt to model near-shore effects. Coastal wave heights will generally be less, especially if the break does not have unobstructed exposure to the open ocean.