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Motukahakaha and Paradise Bay Voti
Qualità su una buona giornata: 3.0
Coerenza del surf: 3.0
Livello di difficoltà: 1.0
Folle: 5.0

Overall: 3.0

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Surf Report Feed

Motukahakaha and Paradise Bay Swell Statistics, Ottobre: Surf with Light or Offshore Winds

This image shows only the swells directed at Motukahakaha and Paradise Bay that coincided with light winds or offshore conditions over a normal October. It is based on 2479 predictions, one every 3 hours. The direction of the spokes show where quality surf generating swell comes from. Five colours show increasing wave sizes. The smallest swells, less than 0.5m (1.5 feet), high are coloured blue. Green and yellow represent increasing swell sizes and red represents highest swells greater than >3m (>10ft). In either graph, the area of any colour is proportional to how commonly that size swell happens.

The diagram implies that the dominant swell direction, shown by the longest spokes, was NE, whereas the the dominant wind blows from the W. The chart at the bottom shows the same thing but without direction information. For example, swells larger than 1.5 feet (0.5m) coincided with good wind conditions 6% of the time, equivalent to 2 days. Open sea swells exceeding >3m (>10ft) are unlikely to arise in a normal October but 5% of the time you can expect swell in the range 1.3-2m (4-6.5ft) 5%, equivalent to (2 days). Taking into account the ratio of these swells that coincided with forecast offshore winds, and given the fact that Motukahakaha and Paradise Bay is slightly protected from open water swells, we think that that clean surf can be found at Motukahakaha and Paradise Bay about 6% of the time and that surf is spoilt by onshore wind 10% of the time. This is means that we expect 5 days with waves in a typical October, of which 2 days should be surfable.

IMPORTANT: Beta version feature! Swell heights are open water values from NWW3. There is no attempt to model near-shore effects. Coastal wave heights will generally be less, especially if the break does not have unobstructed exposure to the open ocean.