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Otago Peninsula - Papanui Beach Voti
Qualità su una buona giornata: 5.0
Coerenza del surf: 3.0
Livello di difficoltà: 3.0
Folle: 4.0

Overall: 3.7

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Surf Report Feed

Otago Peninsula - Papanui Beach Swell Statistics, Ottobre: Surf with Light or Offshore Winds

The rose diagram shows only the swells directed at Otago Peninsula - Papanui Beach that coincided with light winds or offshore conditions over a normal October. It is based on 2480 predictions, one every 3 hours. The direction of the spokes show where quality surf generating swell comes from. Five colours represent increasing wave sizes. Very small swells of less than 0.5m (1.5 feet) high are shown in blue. Green and yellow represent increasing swell sizes and red illustrates the highest swells, greater than >3m (>10ft). In either graph, the area of any colour is proportional to how frequently that size swell occurs.

The diagram suggests that the prevailing swell direction, shown by the largest spokes, was ESE, whereas the the dominant wind blows from the WNW. The chart at the bottom shows the same thing but without direction information. For example, swells larger than 1.5 feet (0.5m) coincided with good wind conditions 14% of the time, equivalent to 4 days. Open sea swells exceeding >3m (>10ft) are unlikely to happen in a normal October but 5% of the time you can expect swell in the range 1.3-2m (4-6.5ft) 5%, equivalent to (2 days). Taking into account the proportion of these swells that coincided with expected offshore winds, and given the fact that Otago Peninsula - Papanui Beach is exposed to open water swells, we estimate that clean surf can be found at Otago Peninsula - Papanui Beach about 14% of the time and that surf is blown out by onshore wind 18% of the time. This is means that we expect 10 days with waves in a typical October, of which 4 days should be surfable.

IMPORTANT: Beta version feature! Swell heights are open water values from NWW3. There is no attempt to model near-shore effects. Coastal wave heights will generally be less, especially if the break does not have unobstructed exposure to the open ocean.