Surf Forecast Surf Report
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Otago Peninsula - Sandfly Bay Surf Stats

All swells

(any wind direction)

Good Surf

(light / offshore wind)

This image illustrates the variation of swells directed at Otago Peninsula - Sandfly Bay through an average March, based on 3460 NWW3 model predictions since 2007 (values every 3 hours). The wave model does not forecast wind and surf right at the coastline so we have chosen the optimum grid node based on what we know about Otago Peninsula - Sandfly Bay, and at Otago Peninsula - Sandfly Bay the best grid node is 16 km away (10 miles). The rose diagram illustrates the distribution of swell directions and swell sizes, while the graph at the bottom shows the same thing but lacks direction information. Five colours represent increasing wave sizes. Very small swells of less than 0.5m (1.5 feet) high are shown in blue. These happened only 29% of the time. Green and yellow show increasing swell sizes and largest swells greater than >3m (>10ft) are shown in red. In each graph, the area of any colour is proportional to how commonly that size swell happens. The diagram implies that the dominant swell direction, shown by the largest spokes, was S, whereas the the most common wind blows from the NW. Because the wave model grid is offshore, sometimes a strong offshore wind blows largest waves away from Otago Peninsula - Sandfly Bay and away from the coast. We lump these in with the no surf category of the bar chart. To avoid confusion we don't show these in the rose diagram. Because wind determines whether or not waves are clean enough to surf at Otago Peninsula - Sandfly Bay, you can select a similar diagram that shows only the swells that were forecast to coincide with glassy or offshore wind conditions. In a typical March, swells large enough to cause surfable waves at Otago Peninsula - Sandfly Bay run for about 71% of the time.

Also see Otago Peninsula - Sandfly Bay wind stats

Compare Otago Peninsula - Sandfly Bay with another surf break

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